THE INFLUENCE OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON EXTREME HYDROLOGICAL EVENTS
Abstract
The effects of global warning and climate change are reflected in more frequent natural catastrophes connected with surfeit or shortage of water. Very high discharges indicate floods, and a long-lasting precipitation deficit indicates low flows and hydrological drought. In 2008, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued a Technical Paper on Climate Change and Water, in which it is shown that observational records and climate projections provide abundant evidence that freshwater resources are vulnerable and have the potential to be strongly impacted by climate change, with wide-ranging consequences for human societies and ecosystems. Europe’s sensitivity to climate change increases from north to south. The frequency and occurrence of floods in Slovenia and impacts of climate change on flood discharges, including results of trend analysis, are presented in this article. Not only floods but also hydrological drought is increasing in Slovenia. The results of analysis of low flows and projected climate changes show a decrease of discharge and a longer dry season.
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