Geografska analiza volilne udeležbe v Sloveniji // Geographical analysis of voter turnout in Slovenia

Abstract

V prispevku je predstavljena geografska analiza volilne udeležbe na volitvah v Državni zbor Republike Slovenije v obdobju 1992–2014. S prostorsko-ekološkim pristopom in uporabo različnih multivariatnih statističnih metod smo skušali razkriti prostorsko strukturo volilne udeležbe in ugotoviti njene najpomembnejše dejavnike. Ugotovili smo, da se prostorske razlike v volilni udeležbi v času niso povečale, se je pa nekoliko spremenila prostorska struktura udeležbe, saj je polarizacijo vzhod–zahod iz devetdesetih let prejšnjega stoletja v zadnjem desetletju zamenjala polarizacija med osrednjo in preostalo Slovenijo. Višja volilna udeležba je na splošno značilna za okraje z boljšo izobrazbeno sestavo in nižjima deležema brezposelnosti ter ostalih neaktivnih prebivalcev.

The article presents the geographical analysis of the voter turnout in the Slovenian parliamentary elections between 1992 and 2014. A spatial-ecological approach was used along with various multivariate statistical methods to determine the spatial structure or the voter turnout and ascertain its most important factors. The results show that the spatial differences in the voter turnout have not increased with time; however, the spatial structure of the turnout had changed somewhat: this is because the east–west polarization from the 1990s shifted in the past decade towards a polarization between central Slovenia and the rest of the country. A higher voter turnout is generally characteristic for districts with a superior educational structure and a lower share of unemployment and other inactive inhabitants.